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Rain takes us out of 2018

Tonight: Rain tapers west to east after midnight. Total rainfall possible 0.40-0.80” with a few spots perhaps around 1”. Gusts could reach 30-40mph outside Catskills, but could reach 40-50mph in Catskills. Power outages could develop in strongest gusts. Temperatures rise. Wind: S/SW 70-15G25+ Low: 37-40↑

New Year’s Day: Windy at times with a 30% chance of some snow showers. Early day high temperature likely. Most of the day spent in the 30s. Wind: NW 10-15G30 High: 36-41↓

Tuesday Night: Clearing to partly cloudy. Wind: NW 7-12 Low: 16-22

Forecast Discussion:
The rain will taper from west to east after midnight. Temperatures will increase overnight into the upper 40s and possibly low 50s before dropping again through the day Tuesday. Rainfall totals with this storm will range from 0.40” to 0.80”. A few spots could possibly see 1” of rain. We do not anticipate any significant, widespread problems from rainfall.

It turns colder for New Year’s Day with highs dropping into the 30s through the late morning. An early day high of around 40 is expected. Winds could gust to 30mph at times so expect a windy start to 2019. A few snow showers are possible with the chance of precipitation 30%.

Wednesday and Thursday are shaping up dry with high pressure in control. Highs Wednesday may only be around 30, but should rise into the upper 30s Thursday. Lows will be in mid 20s.

There is quite a large amount of uncertainty for a late week storm. Yesterday it looked like rain was a certainty Friday – today, that certainty has decreased. We’ve lowered the rain chance to 30% with highs in the upper 30s. Rain and snow chances have increased Saturday to 40%. The Friday/Saturday time frame is something we will be tracking all week. Stay tuned for any changes.

A few mixed showers are possible Saturday before partly cloudy skies return Sunday. Highs both days stay in the upper 30s.

Howard Manges

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