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When will temperatures start acting like March?

Tonight: Partly cloudy to clear early with some clouds later. Wind chills as low as -10 in the coldest locations. Wide range in temperatures expected. Wind: SW 5-10 Low: -4 to 8
Thursday: Breezy and still unseasonably cold. Single digit wind chills at times. Small chance of a few flakes or snow showers. Wind: NW 7-13G27 High: 19-24
Thursday Night: Partly cloudy to clear and very cold. Wind: Light Low: 2-12

Forecast Discussion:

Higher pressure is expected to build into the region tonight and along with a change in wind direction and the introduction of drier air, the lake snow will end in our area. Temperatures will plummet under clearing skies through the evening and early overnight. Overnight lows will range widely from as low as mid single digits below zero to upper single digits above zero. Wind chills could drop as low as -15 in the coldest locations.

High temperatures remain well below average Thursday under a partly sunny sky. It will be breezy at times with a northwest wind gusting 25-28mph at times. Highs will range from near 20 to 25. There is a small chance of a couple flakes or a few snow showers. Another unseasonably frigid night takes us into Friday morning. Lows into Friday morning will once again be in the single digits.

The cold pattern shifts heading into the weekend. Highs Saturday, under partly cloudy skies, will rise into the mid to upper 30s. It could stay a bit colder north. Clouds increase Saturday evening and overnight ahead of a headed-toward-the-Great-Lakes-low pressure system for Sunday. With such a cold air mass in place it appears with the arrival and onset of precipitation overnight, there could be some wintry mix precipitation to start including snow, sleet or freezing rain. The precipitation type will depend on the temperature profile of the atmosphere from the ground up to a few thousand feet above us. We’ll nail down specifics in the coming days as they become clearer and, hopefully, more defined. Saturday night lows will be in the 20s. The chance of precipitation Saturday night increases to 80% after 4am.

Any wintry mix precipitation should change to rain and temperatures rise well into the 40s through the day. The chance of precipitation tapers through the afternoon to around 40% by dinner time.

Next Monday is colder with highs in the mid 30s under sun and clouds. Tuesday clouds and sun are also expected with highs around 32. Partly cloudy conditions return Wednesday with highs climbing back into the low to mid 40s.

Howard Manges

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