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Beautiful Monday in store, storm chances slowly return through week

Monday: Mostly sunny skies. Winds: NW 5-10 mph, High: 8 (76-82)

Monday night: Increasing clouds, becoming mostly cloudy. A stray shower is possible. Winds: Light SW, Low: 61 (59-64)

Tuesday: Mostly cloudy with a 20% chance of stray showers and storms. High: 81, Low: 60

Forecast Discussion

Monday will be the nicest day we get for a little while, as high pressure settles right overhead and northwest winds continue, at lower speeds of course. Models are still hinting at a disturbance with a weak cold front sliding east as we get towards Tuesday, though the timing has slowed down significantly. We’re not expecting any rain Monday, maybe a stray shower before sunrise, and then very isolated shower and storm chances Tuesday as the front decays over the area. This will be the start of a warming pattern, with afternoon shower and storm chances each day.

Speaking of the warming trend, we’ll be back into the middle 80’s by Wednesday, as return flow from the south kicks in once again. A few weak pieces of energy will be rotating into the area, but even without any real forcing, the heating of each day will be enough to pop up some typical summertime storms. The 4th of July will be the warmest day of the week, with highs likely into the upper 80’s. Lows will also be rather warm, not dropping lower than the middle and upper 60’s. We may see some high heat index values come into the picture for the holiday, so remember to stay hydrated and stick with us for all the latest as we get closer.

By next weekend, a stronger cold front finally comes across the Great Lakes and into the Twin Tiers, bringing the highest rain chances for the first half of Saturday. Once the front is through, skies will clear quickly, and much more comfortable conditions will prevail to end next weekend.

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