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Daily rain chances remain

Tonight: Storms and rain fizzle. Partly to mostly cloudy with patchy fog possible. Wind: Light Low: 53-63

Thursday: Partly sunny. 60% chance of scattered afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. Wind: S 3-7 High: 74-77

Thursday Night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low: 58-64

Forecast Discussion:

Expect partly to mostly cloudy skies overnight with lows in the 50s to near 60. Rain showers and storms will come to an end.

A pattern to the winds in the upper level called ‘zonal flow’ will develop and set up through the northern part of the US. This essentially means there are no big ridges of high pressure, or troughs of low pressure, to dominate, or drive, our weather. Instead, in this wind flow regime, tiny disturbances tend to develop and move through from time to time. Coupled with the warm summer weather these disturbances bring unorganized, and very difficult to time out and pinpoint, rain showers and some thunder. We expect this pattern to last through the weekend. As such the change in the forecast is to introduce at least a slight, or better, chance of a few showers in spots to days that were forecast to be dry. Wednesday has a 20% chance of a few isolated showers, and perhaps a storm. The chance of rain is 30% Thursday, 40% Friday and 30% chance each weekend day. No day in the next 7, including this weekend, is expected to bring an all day long rainfall. By Sunday a ridge of high pressure in the midwest slides eastward and bring building heat and humidity.

As far as temperatures, they remain seasonable through Friday, but begin to increase a bit into the weekend. Highs through Friday will be in the 70s to near 80 with lows in the 50s to low 60s.

Saturday highs will be around 80. A ridge of high pressure builds into the area Sunday and temperatures jump into the upper 80s for a few days. Next Monday the unsettled pattern persists with a 30% chance of some showers or storms. Highs stay near 88. Next Tuesday looks to bring a chance of some showers or storms with highs near 86.

Howard Manges

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