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Big storm moves through tonight

Tonight: Heavy rain  ends. Windy and turning sharply colder. Flash flooding subsides. Power outages and wind damage possible. Highest gusts in the highest elevations. Temperatures drop sharply. Total rain by 6am: 1.5-2.5” with up to 2.75”. Wind: SW18-25G40-50 Low: 32-38

Friday: Windy and much colder. Power outages possible. Winds could gust to 40-50mph, especially over higher terrain through late morning. Gusts 30-40mph in the valleys. Winds slowly decrease through the afternoon. High: 42-46

Friday Night: Partly cloudy to clear and cold. Wind: W 5-10 Low: 28-33

Forecast Discussion:

A stormy night is ahead. A cold front will race through the area tonight and big changes are coming with it.

The chance of rain is 100%. Total rainfall by 8am Friday will range from 1.5-2.5” with up to 2.75”. The big effect of the storm that brings the rain will be a large temperature change overnight and flash flood damage. River and creek levels will rise and crest Friday afternoon and very early Saturday morning. There are no indications of any MAJOR flood issues, but river levels could approach, or enter, MINOR flood stage in several locations. Flash flooding will decrease in coverage and the extent of any damage will not be known until light. Wind gusts begin ramping up overnight and could gust 50-55mph over the highest terrain. Lower gusts, 30-40mph are possible in the valleys. Some power outages will likely develop. Overnight lows into Friday morning drop into the upper 30s.

The storm will strengthen and move into New England Friday. Winds will whip out of the west or southwest and could gust 40-50mph with some higher gusts over the higher terrain early in the day. The strongest wind gusts are expected in the 10pm Thursday through 12pm Friday window. The winds slowly subside through the day. Power outages are still possible. Highs will be in the low to mid 40s.

Saturday and Sunday look quiet with highs in the low to mid 40s. Some lake effect rain showers are expected downwind of the Great Lakes and at this time it appears the showers stay away from our area. Overnight lows will be in the upper 20s to low 30s. Monday and Tuesday remain dry as well with highs in the 40s. There is a slight chance of a shower Tuesday. The chance of rain is only 20%. Clouds and sun are likely Wednesday with highs in the mid to upper 40s.

 

Howard Manges

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