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Cold night ahead, warming back up and breezy Sunday

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Storm-Track-12

Sunday: Partly cloudy to start, becoming breezy with clouds quickly returning in the afternoon. Winds: S 10-20 mph, High: 37 (35-40)

Sunday night: Mostly cloudy and breezy with a 10% chance of light rain before sunrise. Winds: S 10-15 mph, Low: 32 (30-35)

Monday: Cloudy with an 80% chance of rain. High: 45, Low: 44

Forecast Discussion

Sunday remains quiet, with partly cloudy skies to start. A warm front from the next system will extend northeast during the day, warming temperatures up into the middle and upper 30's and also returning clouds to the picture. This feature also ushers in a strong southerly flow, meaning breezy conditions most of the day as well. Rainfall should hold off through Sunday night, before getting started on Monday morning. The main low will hang back over the Great Lakes to start the week, with a small disturbance aiding the rainfall off of the East Coast. Despite this, the upper levels of the atmosphere won't be very supportive of this storm, keeping rainfall on the moderate to steady side with very little if any pockets of heavy rainfall.

After an initial shot of rain Monday, we catch a break in a dry slot Monday night, with additional showers with the cold frontal passage Tuesday. As mentioned above, total rainfall is looking to be held back given the conditions, with 0.50-1.00” of rain likely across the viewing area by Tuesday night. Higher totals close to the inch mark will be seen to the east in the Catskills. This rain combined with snowfall could lead to minor flood issues along the smaller streams and creeks of the Delaware and Susquehanna Rivers, but no major issues are expected.

Much colder and quieter weather returns to end the week, with some lake effect snow Wednesday being the only activity. Highs Thursday will struggle into the lower 20's. Another shot of rain and snow showers returns for next weekend.

Damon Matson

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